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Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

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behavioral biases

Investment psychology explainer for Mr. Market – introduction

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on June 14, 2020January 25, 2026
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

In truth, Mr. Market’s emotional problems are the least part of it. What he really suffers from is behavioral biases and a propensity to make cognitive errors.

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The psychology of probability

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on February 9, 2020September 7, 2020
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Probabilities are at the heart of investing. We look at examples of our human frailties in assessing probabilities.

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Investors defending against management spin and ourselves

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on January 12, 2020September 7, 2020
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

If you don’t know what framing is, it’s a wonder you survived this long. We can defend against misframing when others use it against us. But, as important, we can learn to be alert to our own lack of perspective and reframe our own view of things to our advantage.

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Beat the behavioral gap and take advantage of Mr. Market’s foibles

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on September 30, 2019September 7, 2020
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

The greatest failing of most investors, both professional money managers and individual investors, is a failure to understand the impact of their own very human behavior and that of stock market participants as a whole.

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The frailty of high conviction ideas

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on July 23, 2019February 23, 2026
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

We need to have full confidence in our judgement about a company if we are to make a serious financial commitment to it. But, the strength of our belief that we are right has nothing to do with the validity of our judgement. And, if that sounds weird, blame it on behavioral psychology.

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