Dynamic asset allocation and the Equity Risk Premium
Market and economic structures can shift, undercutting a key basis for using historical data to make predictions
Part 5: Asset Management
Disagreeing with Jeremy Grantham’s bubble call Part ll
Warren Buffett terminated his partnership, paid out his investors and went to cash. That’s the only time in his many decades of investing that he has taken such radical action.
Will the inflation fight torpedo the stock market?
The conquest of inflation was a landmark accomplishment with enduring benefits, but it came with heavy costs. After a brief recession in 1980 and a short rebound, the economy slumped deeply in 1981 and 1982
Disagreeing with Jeremy Grantham’s bubble call
Among other factors, indicators of extremes of euphoria seem much more important than price
CAPE’s halo falls with a thud
CAPE is ignorant of interest rates
My thoughts about GMO’s ‘GROWTH BUBBLE’
Using trailing twelve months earnings that are impacted by a recession is a mistake
My thoughts on asset allocation
They looked at the allocation between stocks, bonds and cash. They found that over 95 percent of the funds’ returns came from their asset allocation.
Chart distortions that drive me crazy
Going parabolic and other lies
How much riskier are stocks than bonds?
In such an environment, many investors actually consider investments they are making are low risk when, in fact, they are higher risk.
What you need to know about bubbles
I am not attuned to this market environment, and I don’t want to spoil a decent record by trying to play a game I don’t understand just so I can go out a hero.
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