Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

A website for serious investors in common stocks

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probability

Quantitative vs intuitive in investing

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on August 15, 2022August 15, 2022
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Human decisions affecting the future, whether personal or political or economic, cannot depend on strict mathematical expectation, since the basis for making such calculations does not exist.

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The psychology of probability

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on February 9, 2020September 7, 2020
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Probabilities are at the heart of investing. We look at examples of our human frailties in assessing probabilities.

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The psychology of risk

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on February 2, 2020May 2, 2021
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Risk aversion is an unwillingness to take on a risk in spite of the fact that the reward amply justifies the risk taken

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