My thoughts on second edition of The Four Pillars of Investing by William Bernstein
We think the very term ‘value investing’ is redundant. What is ‘investing’ if it is not the act of seeking value at least sufficient to justify the amount paid?
random data
Random walks and butterfly effects on Wall Street
Movies goers will report liking a movie more when they hear beforehand how good it is
Let’s face it, we’re really bad at patterns and statistics
In our hunt for the investment guru we get hit with a double whammy of cognitive errors. We see patterns in random data because we, as humans, love to find causes and patterns suggest causes. And, we jump to conclusions on the basis of statistically insignificant data, again, because we love to identify causes.
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