How I invest my money
We think the very term ‘value investing’ is redundant.
We think the very term ‘value investing’ is redundant.
Superb companies produce a very high return on capital. But when substantial intangible assets don’t show up on balance sheets, the ROC numbers are unduly flattering to management.
In our hunt for the investment guru we get hit with a double whammy of cognitive errors. We see patterns in random data because we, as humans, love to find causes and patterns suggest causes. And, we jump to conclusions on the basis of statistically insignificant data, again, because we love to identify causes.
Most analysts will talk of EBITDA, EBIT, NOPAT and what not. Warren Buffett’s approach is to think in terms of Owner Earnings. It is somewhat akin to free cash flow.
One apportions investment positions or portfolio weightings according to one’s informed estimate of each stock’s probable return; it is the weighting that provides the highest geometric mean of outcomes; betting your beliefs.
When we own a stock, let’s face it, we love to see articles and reports that confirm our positive view of our investment. It’s human nature. It makes us feel good. On the flip side, we tend not to see or notice negative opinions.
Ideas based crowd source project to improve Nuggets of Investing Wisdom for everyone
The single greatest misapprehension I’ve seen by common stock investors in recent years, including many professional money managers, is to misunderstand the impact of company investment in intangibles of lasting value.
The world has changed. The biggest shift in the world of business in the last forty years has been the swing in company capital investment away from tangible assets and towards intangible assets. This has had a major impact on metrics such as earnings, price/earnings, book value of equity, ROC, ROE, CAPE and several others.
After being retired for 20 years, we have the opportunity of enjoying a much lower tax rate on the same average dollar amount of investment returns. When our investments are passed on to our children there will be no one-time full marginal rate tax to pay.
Before practice, opportunity, and luck can combine to create expertise, the would-be expert needs to demythologize the achievement of top-level performance, because the notion that genius is born, not made, is deeply ingrained
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