Market (In)Efficiency and beating the market
Behavioral inefficiencies are likely the most enduring because human nature has not changed much over time and is unlikely to change much in the future.
Behavioral inefficiencies are likely the most enduring because human nature has not changed much over time and is unlikely to change much in the future.
In effect they acknowledge that going down the Capital Asset Pricing Model rabbit hole with Alice did not get them to Wonderland. Their solution is to go further down the same rabbit hole.
The concept of this research is to capture results associated with a long-term investor (we assume a 5-year holding period) that has incredible stock-picking skill
Now we are looking for good companies, not just cheap companies.
The question then becomes whether the market is simply slow to recognize the value in the company or whether the analyst was too optimistic in their estimate of fair value.
Declining free cash flow may be a sign the company is investing for the future! Or it may be a very bad sign. Increasing free cash flow may be a good sign or a bad sign. It’s all in the interpretation of the financials.
Distill the secrets of sound investment into three words
The best business to own is one that over an extended period can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return
If I have to bite at stuff that is out of my happy zone, I’m not a .334 hitter
The prophets of doom have overlooked the all-important factor
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