Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

A website for serious investors in common stocks – Read by investors in over 150 countries around the world

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Market (In)Efficiency and beating the market

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on January 25, 2026January 27, 2026
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

Behavioral inefficiencies are likely the most enduring because human nature has not changed much over time and is unlikely to change much in the future.

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Want better returns? Forget risk. Focus on fear

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on August 19, 2025August 19, 2025
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

In effect they acknowledge that going down the Capital Asset Pricing Model rabbit hole with Alice did not get them to Wonderland. Their solution is to go further down the same rabbit hole. 

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Drawdowns, inefficient markets and a portfolio managed by God

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on July 9, 2025July 9, 2025
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

The concept of this research is to capture results associated with a long-term investor (we assume a 5-year holding period) that has incredible stock-picking skill

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Howard Marks bad advice or misunderstood

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on March 9, 2025March 9, 2025
  • Part 4: Principles of Operation

Now we are looking for good companies, not just cheap companies.

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The danger in out-of-consensus analysts’ reports

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on September 19, 2024September 19, 2024
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

The question then becomes whether the market is simply slow to recognize the value in the company or whether the analyst was too optimistic in their estimate of fair value.

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How to buy stocks at bargain prices

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on May 27, 2024May 29, 2024
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

Declining free cash flow may be a sign the company is investing for the future! Or it may be a very bad sign. Increasing free cash flow may be a good sign or a bad sign. It’s all in the interpretation of the financials.

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Buying at average prices vs buying at very attractive prices

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on April 14, 2024April 14, 2024
  • Part 4: Principles of Operation

Distill the secrets of sound investment into three words

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Concentration risk and the Magnificent Seven

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on November 19, 2023November 19, 2023
  • Part 6: The Hallmarks of Superb Businesses

The best business to own is one that over an extended period can employ large amounts of incremental capital at very high rates of return

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Buying stocks in your happy zone

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on July 16, 2023July 16, 2023
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

If I have to bite at stuff that is out of my happy zone, I’m not a .334 hitter

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Investing in a permacrisis

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on December 27, 2022December 27, 2022
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

The prophets of doom have overlooked the all-important factor

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