Investment decision making in face of uncertainty
Robust decision-making embraces many plausible futures, then helps analysts and decision makers identify near-term actions that are robust across a very wide range of futures
balance
KISS, diversification and balance
Mathematical models that show price correlation will give precise answers but aren’t useful
Conventional diversification makes no sense
The concerns which fail are those which have scattered their capital, which means that they have scattered their brains also. They have investments in this, or that, or the other, here, there and everywhere
The best number of stocks to own
Too much of a good thing can be wonderful
Buying a stock – dating, not fully wedded
Clearly it is not a moaty Warren Buffett enterprise. But, over the next five years or so it has the potential to become one.
Fallacies around the truth of what drives the market
The top-performing 2.4% of firms account for all of the $US 75.7 trillion in net global stock market wealth creation from 1990 to December 2020
An overarching portfolio strategy
In sports, in war and in the battle for investment survival it is helpful to distinguish between strategy and tactics.
Conventional diversification makes no sense for you
I cannot understand why an investor of that sort elects to put money into a business that is his 20th favorite
An all bank portfolio, ETFs and mistaken notions of diversification and balance
As the play, The Merchant of Venice, unfolds, all of Antonio’s ships sink, his business collapses and Shylock demands his pound of flesh.
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