Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

A website for serious investors in common stocks – Read by investors in over 150 countries around the world

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inefficient markets

Does Wisdom of Crowds apply to earnings estimates, price targets, value estimates and stock prices?

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on April 5, 2026April 5, 2026
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

The behavioral tail can wag the statistical dog

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Market (In)Efficiency and beating the market

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on January 25, 2026January 27, 2026
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

Behavioral inefficiencies are likely the most enduring because human nature has not changed much over time and is unlikely to change much in the future.

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The Winner’s Curse and Homo Investorus

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on January 18, 2026January 31, 2026
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

The world does not operate in accordance with conventional economic or finance theory posited on the notion that people are both rational and selfish.

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Drawdowns, inefficient markets and a portfolio managed by God

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on July 9, 2025July 9, 2025
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

The concept of this research is to capture results associated with a long-term investor (we assume a 5-year holding period) that has incredible stock-picking skill

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Active investing in today’s investment landscape

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on June 10, 2025June 10, 2025
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

Most trading that is going on right now has nothing to do with value

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Cliff Asness, Wall Street sharks and market inefficiency

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on September 8, 2024September 9, 2024
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

Markets now exhibit far more casino-like behavior than they did when I was young. The casino now resides in many homes and daily tempts the occupants.

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Rise of passive investing good or bad for active investors?

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on August 25, 2024August 25, 2024
  • Part 4: Principles of Operation

The stock market and individual stocks still seem capable of swinging from euphoria to fear, from fear to euphoria, from bull to bear and from bear to bull, as they have over stock market history.

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How to buy stocks at bargain prices

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on May 27, 2024May 29, 2024
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

Declining free cash flow may be a sign the company is investing for the future! Or it may be a very bad sign. Increasing free cash flow may be a good sign or a bad sign. It’s all in the interpretation of the financials.

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Market value – a misleading contradiction in terms

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on May 19, 2024May 19, 2024
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

What could be more advantageous in an intellectual contest – whether it be bridge, chess, or stock selection – than to have opponents who have been taught that thinking is a waste of energy?

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What to make of recent market run up?

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on December 17, 2023December 17, 2023
  • Part 1: The Field of Play

Rising prices are a narcotic that affect the reasoning power up and down the line

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