The pitfalls of a sector rotation strategy
Investing based essentially on the business cycle outlook is a fools’ game.
Investing based essentially on the business cycle outlook is a fools’ game.
Is buying with a margin of safety really the closet practice of market timing?
The cash in the portfolio may be enough to take advantage of the opportunity. Or it may not be enough. It doesn’t matter. The investor is in the delicious position of comparing the new opportunity with all other holdings in the portfolio.
The subjective confidence we have in our personal level of skill is absolutely no guide as to whether we actually have the skill.
Math and algorithms will give precise answers. And therein lies the problem.
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