Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

Nuggets of Investing Wisdom

A website for serious investors in common stocks

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herd

A set of rules to develop a behavioral edge – Part 4

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on November 13, 2022November 13, 2022
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Herding. All stock market prices are both the cause and result of herding behavior amongst investors.

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The search for a better guide to stock values

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on October 2, 2022October 3, 2022
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

Can we improve on the accuracy of these estimates by obtaining estimates from, say, 22 leading investment banks and averaging them?

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Scatter shot estimates of fair value

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on July 3, 2022July 5, 2022
  • Part 7: Building and Managing a Portfolio

A group with a high anchor were prepared to pay three times as much for the same wine as a group with a low anchor

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Thinking for ourselves

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on August 15, 2021August 15, 2021
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Heuristic – This alternative to careful reasoning may cause us to answer the question of what is the fair value of a stock by asking the question, what is the ‘market value’?

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The joy of contrarian investing

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on December 27, 2020December 27, 2020
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

The moral courage to act ‘in opposition to the crowd’ when your judgement tells you are right

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Does Wisdom of Crowds apply to earnings estimates, price targets, value estimates and stock prices?

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on October 11, 2020January 14, 2021
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

The behavioral tail can wag the statistical dog

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Explainer – herd mentality and poor investment results

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on June 21, 2020July 12, 2020
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

People are rationally (?) choosing not to, as they see it, waste their time and effort in exercising their judgment about the market

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Keeping your head in times of turmoil

  • by Rodney Smith
  • Posted on March 15, 2020May 2, 2021
  • Part 2: Human Foibles and Investment Decision Making

Doing what everybody else is doing at the moment, and therefore what you have an almost irresistible urge to do, is often the wrong thing to do at all

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